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Findings and Recommendations

The report has four principal findings and 20 recommendations. Of the findings the first three are positive, whilst the fourth points out areas in need of change. About half of the recommendations deal with particular issues raised under the fourth finding; the remaining recommendations deal with a variety of issues, including Information Technology implications.



  
Finding #1.

It is essential for Australia to have a sound research-base in the Mathematical Sciences.

We highlight this need for the following reasons:

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to be able to respond to new research ideas and opportunities;

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to capture benefit through collaborative research and downstream technology-transfer;

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to educate future Mathematical Sciences graduates;

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to contribute to the economic and cultural strength of the nation;

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to benefit from international developments.

In general Australia possesses a sound research base although certain sub-disciplines, among them Operations Research and Financial Mathematics, need strengthening. The health of the research base in Australia was plain to see. Among the measures of performance used were bibliometry and the level of funding by the Australian Research Council (ARC).

Australia's mathematicians and statisticians publish about two percent of the world's papers in their discipline. One well-known survey puts the figure at 2.3%, whilst other databases give smaller percentages. These papers were cited about ten percent more than the world-wide average for papers in the discipline. These are impressive figures for a country with a small population. The Mathematical Sciences in Australia enjoy a higher percentage of world output than disciplines like Clinical Medicine, Chemistry, Engineering and Physics.

This level of publication had a slow decline over the 1980s, but the number of citations per paper increased a little. Australia's publication level in statistics was remarkably high, helped by extensive use of statistics in CSIRO for Australia's primary industries for some decades from 1950 onwards.

A second perspective is obtained from ARC funding. Large ARC grants directly classified under the Mathematical Sciences were 1.7% of the total in 1987, 2.8% in 1991, and 3.7% in 1993. ARC grants represent world-class performance. There is intense competition for them, and in recent years the success rate for applications is about 20%. The ARC grants reveal another astonishing feature--the pervasiveness of the Mathematical Sciences--but more about that later.



  
Finding #2.

The Mathematical Sciences are critical to Australia's
economic competitiveness and quality of life, and will become more so.

The Mathematical Sciences are generic and enabling technologies.
They are essential to the prosperity of many value-adding industries in Australia.

We found unequivocal evidence of the value of the Mathematical Sciences to Australia. Applications were identified across all industry sectors. Notable examples cited within the review include defence, mining, mineral-processing, services and manufacturing. Within any particular industry sector, the Mathematical Sciences are used at all stages of a value-added chain.

The mining and mineral-processing sector is an example with a distinctly Australian flavour. Table 1 below, reproduced from the review, indicates the significant need for the Mathematical Sciences within this industry.

 


Stage

Typical Requirements from
Mathematical Sciences

exploration analysis of remotely-sensed data
ore-reserve estimation geostatistics
mine planning optimisation for scheduling
excavation optimisation for scheduling
design of excavation equipment
blasting services
transportation and stock-piling statistical sampling, optimisation
metal production simulation, design of processes
computational fluid dynamics
statistical process-control
fabrication design of processes, control
simulation for plant control
Table 1:  Advanced mathematical services in mining and mineral-processing.

In the report we described an example where the Mathematical Sciences had a large financial impact. This was work carried out by my colleagues in Division of Mathematics and Statistics for the Electricity Trust of South Australia. Box 3.4 of that report[ 1] describes this work--on risk management of assets--which will lead to savings of up to $250 million.



  
Finding #3.

The Mathematical Sciences make a vital contribution to many fields of research and endeavour.

The importance of this contribution needs further emphasis because:

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much work in the Mathematical Sciences is multi-disciplinary in nature;

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there is a spill-over of concepts and techniques from the Mathematical Sciences into other disciplines, particularly through methods and software widely used in those disciplines;

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researchers in many other disciplines--including social sciences--who would not describe themselves as mathematical scientists, nonetheless make extensive use of mathematical and statistical concepts.

It is well-known that the Mathematical Sciences are widely used in other disciplines. What was surprising was the extent to which this takes place. To illustrate this finding in the university context, we turn once again to publishing output and ARC data.

Over half of the published output of Mathematical Sciences departments appears in journals for other disciplines. For Physics, Chemistry, the Earth Sciences and Biology, the comparable figure is about one quarter.

We also found that many ARC Large Grants were either (a) given to members of Mathematical Sciences departments, but classified under other disciplines; or (b) given to applicants in other disciplines, but on topics that were clearly mathematical in nature. Altogether these two categories amounted for nearly twice as much as those grants directly classified under the Mathematical Sciences.

We also found an extraordinary pervasiveness in the case of advanced mathematical services. The Mathematical Sciences were applied in every industry sector examined. Typically the Mathematical Sciences played a key and central rôle. Often the use of the Mathematical Sciences was not evident to the user, who used a software product having a fanciful graphical user-interface which masked the underlying mathematical concepts and algorithms.

A wonderful example of this is in yield-management for airlines, in which notions from the Mathematical Sciences are used to optimise the number of passengers paying full fares. The next time you make an airline booking, remember that you will be ``flying in yield-management cyberspace under the control of mathematical models using dynamic-programming, linear-programming, exponential-smoothing and other tools of optimization and estimation''. Have a nice trip!



  
Finding #4.

The Mathematical Sciences profession in Australia faces a number of major challenges.

Amongst these challenges we specifically identify:

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improving the image of the profession to match its importance and effectiveness;

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balancing an age distribution which is currently skewed by the growth in the profession in the late 1960s and 1970s;

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redressing the gender imbalance at senior levels;

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attracting good undergraduate students into Mathematical Sciences courses;

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increasing opportunities for post-doctoral level researchers;

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broadening the funding base for research;

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educating potential users to the value of the Mathematical Sciences;

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improving technology-transfer programs and associated educational programs,
particularly for small to medium enterprises (SMEs).

If these challenges are not addressed successfully there will be significant diminution in Australia's capabilities in the Mathematical Sciences, to the detriment of the nation.



  
Concerning the Recommendations

We have taken great pains to show that the Mathematical Sciences in Australia are healthy, economically important, and play a key rôle in the work of many other disciplines.
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Why then do the Mathematical Sciences possess such a low profile?

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Why are there persistent problems in high-school Mathematics education?

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Why does the government's CRC program not support a CRC in ``Industrial Application of the Mathematical Sciences''?

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Why is there not a Special Research Centre for basic research in Mathematics?

These limitations show the Mathematical Sciences have a lower profile than they should. Other factors which also need to be addressed include the gender imbalance of the discipline, the narrowness of its funding base, and its skewed age-distribution.

Each of the 20 recommendations in the report were made with the long term benefits of the profession in mind. Professional mathematical scientists might be disappointed that we make no particular recommendations concerning ARC Large Grants. Most however, will enthusiastically endorse the recommendations which call for a Special Research Centre and a Cooperative Research Centre in the Mathematical Sciences.

To conclude, this Review involved wide consultation and was developed with a broad consensus. I urge researchers and practitioners to support the recommendations for the benefit of the profession.


next up previous contents
Next: References Up: Two Percent of the Previous: The Strategic Review

Ross Moore ross@ics.mq.edu.au
1/26/1997